Alan Greenspan's comments about the state of the British economy don't wash well with me. His warnings about impending high interest and inflation rates and the demise of the current housing price bubble strike me as poorly judged, especially when I consider that America has contributed greatly to the financial 'crisis' currently gripping our markets and banks.
This reminds me very much of the Lloyds 'Names' crisis in the last century. Overexposure to dodgy American insurance underwriters and thence to large insurance claims nearly broke a large number of investors who had previously thought that their money was safe.
"Where America goes Britain will follow" we are told. Why should this be? I suspect greed myself. As I understand it the current 'crisis' is brought about due to the American sub-prime lending problem. Potential bad debt has been wrapped up and sold to our banks, and hence we are suffering as a result. Mortgage rates are increasing despite the lack of change in the Bank of England base rate.
To America debt has always been a fact of life, Alistaire Cook mentioned it in his brilliant television documentary series all those years ago. America has used a mechanism called "deficit funding" (I believe) to spend now and pay later on a countrywide scale. Gordon Brown's economic miracle in Britain has used a similar trick to allow borrowing over a cycle - the so called Golden Rule - relying on the fact that the economy should grow over time.
It's sad to think that all this growth has been at a cost to people who live in this country. We now pay much more for our housing, transport, and living expenses, and taxes. I especially accuse the exorbitant council tax for which we get very little back. Gordon has pulled of an amazing trick. He has sneakily mortgaged the country, and hence its population, to the hilt, and has sneaked into Number 10 in enough time to push the blame onto other people. All we are promised now is tough talk from Mr Darling about our responsibilities as consumers to not get into debt. Coupled with the promise of future, so-called, Green Taxes is just another smack in the face of the British public.
So the sustained growth from the last decade is soon to be shown to be the sham it is. It is a great shame that the American sub-prime debt is involved as it is going to compound an effect that was overdue anyway.
NB Green Taxes are currently just another device to extract money without actually making a difference to the climate.
